Is there any room for a personal Trump party in the U.S. Congress?

A Games Theory application says no.

Francesco Piccinelli
Lead and Paper
Published in
4 min readJan 19, 2021

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Will the Republican Party split in two during the Biden administration? No, no and (again) no. The problem is very simple: there is a huge divide between Republican and Democrats but, more importantly, the party is too loyal to Donald Trump. More importantly, according to a cluster analysis of FiveThirtyEight’s loyalty index, loyalty was the single biggest ideological cleavage during the 116th Congress with the Democrats strongly antagonizing the soon-to-be-ex…

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